Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-23 0.001483 0.001574 0.001667 0.001771 0.001882 0.001999 0.002132
2025-03-02 0.001314 0.001437 0.001569 0.001721 0.001891 0.002078 0.002298
2025-03-09 0.001202 0.001345 0.001502 0.001689 0.001906 0.002151 0.002450
2025-03-16 0.001132 0.001290 0.001468 0.001686 0.001945 0.002246 0.002626
2025-03-23 0.001066 0.001234 0.001427 0.001668 0.001961 0.002311 0.002764
2025-03-30 0.001016 0.001192 0.001399 0.001661 0.001988 0.002386 0.002914
2025-04-06 0.000964 0.001145 0.001360 0.001638 0.001991 0.002429 0.003023
2025-04-13 0.000916 0.001100 0.001322 0.001612 0.001986 0.002460 0.003117
2025-04-20 0.000860 0.001041 0.001263 0.001557 0.001942 0.002436 0.003134
2025-04-27 0.000840 0.001027 0.001259 0.001571 0.001986 0.002530 0.003311
2025-05-04 0.000829 0.001024 0.001269 0.001602 0.002054 0.002655 0.003538
2025-05-11 0.000823 0.001027 0.001286 0.001643 0.002135 0.002803 0.003804
2025-05-18 0.000793 0.001000 0.001265 0.001636 0.002155 0.002873 0.003973
2025-05-25 0.000753 0.000956 0.001220 0.001596 0.002127 0.002874 0.004040
2025-06-01 0.000720 0.000922 0.001187 0.001568 0.002116 0.002898 0.004143
2025-06-08 0.000698 0.000902 0.001172 0.001565 0.002139 0.002972 0.004326
2025-06-15 0.000674 0.000877 0.001149 0.001549 0.002141 0.003015 0.004460
2025-06-22 0.000654 0.000857 0.001133 0.001543 0.002158 0.003078 0.004632
2025-06-29 0.000631 0.000832 0.001108 0.001522 0.002151 0.003105 0.004744
2025-07-06 0.000608 0.000807 0.001081 0.001498 0.002137 0.003121 0.004838
2025-07-13 0.000578 0.000771 0.001039 0.001448 0.002082 0.003067 0.004809
2025-07-20 0.000569 0.000765 0.001038 0.001461 0.002125 0.003173 0.005061
2025-07-27 0.000565 0.000765 0.001048 0.001490 0.002192 0.003322 0.005401